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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?

63%+2 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 63¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 63% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 09:28 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 11 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

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Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
65¢
Best bid
60¢
Spread
5¢
Volume, 24h
$52,338
Liquidity
$2,303
Closes
1 Jan 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 65¢, and sells for the bid, 60¢. The 5¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

51%59%67%12:0018:0000:0006:0063%51%59%67%12:0000:0063%
Polymarket price over the last 25 hours, from 57% to 63%. Each time it moved.

A price of 63¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 63%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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