TRACK RECORD

The current model, wins and losses

Kahyna’s current model has a 69.5% win rate across its 197 settled calls: 137 won and 60 lost, out of 197 calls logged before their markets resolved. Each call is counted once, losses stay on this page exactly as wins do, and a win rate is not money made: a high one can still lose money.

MEASURED, NOT GUARANTEED

model-estimated likelihood · measured, not guaranteed. Better calibration is not profit. These are estimates to sharpen your decision, not advice, and no likelihood shown here guarantees an outcome. Do not trade on any figure here on its own.

Each call in this record is counted once. If the same call appeared more than once, its first showing in the record supplies the price.

This is a small, unprojected sample. Win rate is shown with the number of settled calls it was computed from. Read the exact method.

CURRENT MODEL

All current-model calls

Kahyna model calls

197 calls logged · 197 settled · 137 won · 60 lost

Kahyna model record · Last 197 calls · 69.5% win rate

Across 197 settled calls.

Wallets we follow

456 calls logged · 191 settled · 65 won · 126 lost

Followed-wallet record · Last 191 calls · 34.0% win rate

Across 191 settled calls.

Desk records with enough settled calls

A desk appears only from five settled calls. Smaller desk samples remain in the total above and publish no separate rate.

DESK

CRYPTO

132 calls logged · 132 settled · 94 won · 38 lost

Record · Last 132 calls · 71.2% win rate

Across 132 settled calls.

DESK

STOCKS

43 calls logged · 43 settled · 32 won · 11 lost

Record · Last 43 calls · 74.4% win rate

Across 43 settled calls.

DESK

SPORTS

22 calls logged · 22 settled · 11 won · 11 lost

Record · Last 22 calls · 50.0% win rate

Across 22 settled calls.

WALLETS WE FOLLOW

How the followed-wallet figure is counted

Wallets were selected first and outcomes counted afterwards. 456 calls were logged and 191 have settled. This remains a small forward-tracked sample; do not project it.

Earlier wallet history used to choose them is excluded. It measures the selection, not whether following them worked after they were chosen.

What these figures do not say

No result is annualised, extrapolated or presented as a forecast. A high hit rate can still lose money when losing calls cost more than winners pay, and a losing period is kept on this page exactly as a winning one is. Members can inspect the broader model ledger.

Questions people ask

How accurate is Kahyna?

Kahyna measures accuracy as the share of its settled calls that went the called way: 69.5% across 197 settled calls for the current model so far, losses included. A win rate is not money made: a call bought near certainty wins a little when it is right and loses the whole stake when it is wrong, so a high win rate can still lose money. A small sample can reverse quickly, and no figure here says how the next call will do.