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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?

13%-3 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 13¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 13% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 3 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Show all 8

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
14¢
Best bid
11¢
Spread
2.8¢
Volume, 24h
$3,564
Liquidity
$3,692
Closes
31 Dec 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 14¢, and sells for the bid, 11¢. The 2.8¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

3%11%19%28 Oct29 Oct30 Oct31 Oct1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov13%3%11%19%28 Oct30 Oct1 Nov3 Nov13%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 10% to 13%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 13¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 13%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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