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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?

21%-1 pt in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 21¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 21% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Show all 8

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
23¢
Best bid
19¢
Spread
4¢
Volume, 24h
$1,178
Liquidity
$1,838
Closes
31 Dec 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 23¢, and sells for the bid, 19¢. The 4¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

13%20%26%28 Oct29 Oct30 Oct31 Oct1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov21%13%20%26%28 Oct30 Oct1 Nov3 Nov21%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 18% to 21%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 21¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 21%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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