Research

What we measured before we built something, with the date and the data. When a number changes, it gets a new note rather than a quiet edit.

• Esports on Polymarket: why a record needs 88 bets26 September 2026. We measured how many settled esports bets a Polymarket record needs before it says more about the wallet than about luck. The answer is 88.

The rules these notes lead to are on the methodology page.