POLYMARKET WALLETS · RECORDS AGAINST THE ODDS
Polymarket wallets: records against the odds
Wallets whose full trade history we hold and whose record clears our bar, each judged against the odds it paid. Ranked by how reliably each record beat the odds it paid: the low end of what its bets allow, so a long record ranks above a short streak. Each row shows the desk it is ranked on.
1,960 wallets, each on its strongest desk, 1951 to 1960 on this page. Scored 2026-10-05.
- Wallet
0x0ddd990dOn Crypto · 37 settled bets · 65% won · average price 68¢at least -13.5 pts - Wallet
0xbaf72df4On Sports · 23 settled bets · 65% won · average price 63¢at least -13.5 pts - Wallet
0xa23d5d02On Crypto · 32 settled bets · 81% won · average price 87¢at least -13.8 pts - Wallet
0x48be64caOn Sports · 25 settled bets · 60% won · average price 58¢at least -13.9 pts - Wallet
0xf3f9e883On Sports · 20 settled bets · 80% won · average price 82¢at least -14.4 pts - Wallet
0xa891f04aOn Sports · 37 settled bets · 65% won · average price 70¢ · trading style not confirmedat least -14.7 pts - Wallet
0xb425474bOn Other · 22 settled bets · 73% won · average price 78¢at least -16.1 pts - Wallet
0x7b842c1fOn World · 27 settled bets · 70% won · average price 79¢ · trading style not confirmedat least -17.6 pts - Wallet
0xd3bc2022On Sports · 23 settled bets · 70% won · average price 74¢ · trading style not confirmedat least -18.8 pts - Wallet
0x283c23e7On Crypto · 44 settled bets · 75% won · average price 89¢at least -20.6 pts
The figure on the right is how many points more often the wallet won than the prices it paid said it would, on the desk the row names, counted cautiously, so a short record counts for less. The list is ranked on it.
How the bar works
A wallet is listed on a desk only when all of this is true:
- We hold its full trade history, so the record is complete rather than a sample.
- It bets on outcomes. Wallets that make markets or trade both sides of one are left out.
- It has settled at least the desk's number of bets.
- It won at least 60% of them.
- It came out ahead, and would still have come out ahead without its single best bet.
- It put at least $500 at risk on the desk.
Each desk needs its own number of settled bets before a record counts. The bar in full, desk by desk
Records, not advice
These are records of what wallets did, settled from their trades and judged against the prices they paid. Not advice, and not a trading signal. Watching a wallet is information, not a trade.
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