POLYMARKET WALLETS · RECORDS AGAINST THE ODDS
Polymarket Stocks wallets: records against the odds
Wallets whose full trade history we hold and whose record clears our bar on Stocks, each judged against the odds it paid. Ranked by how reliably each record beat the odds it paid: the low end of what its bets allow, so a long record ranks above a short streak. Each row shows the desk it is ranked on.
9 wallets on Stocks. Scored 2026-10-05.
- Wallet
0xbc4230adOn Stocks · 168 settled bets · 64% won · average price 56¢at least +2.1 pts - Wallet
0xd13c1b0dOn Stocks · 158 settled bets · 98% won · average price 95¢at least +1.1 pts - Wallet
0x731a2417On Stocks · 418 settled bets · 100% won · average price 100¢ · also listed on Macro, Other, Weather, Sports, Cryptoat least -0.1 pts - Wallet
0xef5326fcOn Stocks · 226 settled bets · 100% won · average price 100¢ · also listed on Cryptoat least -0.3 pts - Wallet
0xfcc68c34On Stocks · 142 settled bets · 83% won · average price 80¢at least -0.8 pts - Wallet
0x3ec5b03aOn Stocks · 226 settled bets · 99% won · average price 98¢at least -1.1 pts - Wallet
0xcbd0f3b6On Stocks · 330 settled bets · 97% won · average price 98¢ · also listed on Macro, Sportsat least -2.2 pts - Wallet
0x4025a99cOn Stocks · 160 settled bets · 97% won · average price 98¢ · also listed on Macro, Sportsat least -2.8 pts - Wallet
0xbda56bf4On Stocks · 202 settled bets · 86% won · average price 85¢at least -3.2 pts
The figure on the right is how many points more often the wallet won than the prices it paid said it would, on the desk the row names, counted cautiously, so a short record counts for less. The list is ranked on it.
How the bar works
A wallet is listed on a desk only when all of this is true:
- We hold its full trade history, so the record is complete rather than a sample.
- It bets on outcomes. Wallets that make markets or trade both sides of one are left out.
- It has settled at least the desk's number of bets.
- It won at least 60% of them.
- It came out ahead, and would still have come out ahead without its single best bet.
- It put at least $500 at risk on the desk.
Each desk needs its own number of settled bets before a record counts. The bar in full, desk by desk
Records, not advice
These are records of what wallets did, settled from their trades and judged against the prices they paid. Not advice, and not a trading signal. Watching a wallet is information, not a trade.
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