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Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 80% or higher?

Outcome: 80%+

10%Polymarket’s price is 9.5¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 10% chance.

Price read 11 Nov 2026, 05:50 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 12 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1636 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
10¢
Best bid
9¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$3,836
Liquidity
$1,932
Closes
1 Jul 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 10¢, and sells for the bid, 9¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

6%13%19%23:0000:0001:0002:0003:0004:0010%6%13%19%00:0002:0004:0010%
Polymarket price over the last 6 hours, from 16% to 10%. Each time it moved.

A price of 9.5¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 10%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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