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Will Claude Fable 5.2 debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 75% or higher?

Outcome: 75%+

28%Polymarket’s price is 28¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 28% chance.

Price read 11 Nov 2026, 04:13 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 9 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1636 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
28¢
Best bid
27¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$3,641
Liquidity
$908
Closes
1 Jul 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 28¢, and sells for the bid, 27¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

22%27%31%22:0023:0000:0001:0002:0003:0028%22%27%31%22:0000:0002:0028%
Polymarket price over the last 6 hours, from 26% to 28%. Each time it moved.

A price of 28¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 28%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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