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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30, 2027?

21%Polymarket’s price is 21¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 21% chance.

Price read 10 Nov 2026, 04:21 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 6 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1636 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
22¢
Best bid
20¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$968
Liquidity
$8,261
Closes
1 Jul 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 22¢, and sells for the bid, 20¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

16%22%28%16:0018:0020:0022:0000:0002:0021%16%22%28%16:0020:0000:0021%
Polymarket price over the last 12 hours, from 25% to 21%. Each time it moved.

A price of 21¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 21%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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