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US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

8%Unchanged in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 7.5¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 8% chance.

Price read 7 Nov 2026, 07:29 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

2 wallets we follow hold this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
8¢
Best bid
7.0¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$82,362
Liquidity
$119,714
Closes
16 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 8¢, and sells for the bid, 7.0¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

3%13%22%3 Nov4 Nov5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov8%3%13%22%3 Nov5 Nov7 Nov8%
Polymarket price over the last 5 days, from 12% to 8%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 7.5¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 8%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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