Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?
6%-2 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 5.9¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 6% chance.
Price read 10 Nov 2026, 02:47 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.
Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.
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Other outcomes in this event
Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.
- Best ask
- 8.4¢
- Best bid
- 3.4¢
- Spread
- 5¢
- Volume, 24h
- $508
- Liquidity
- $5,767
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2027
A YES share costs the ask, 8.4¢, and sells for the bid, 3.4¢. The 5¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs
Recent prices
A price of 5.9¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 6%. How to read Polymarket odds
Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.