Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Outcome: 200-204
10%-1 pt in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 9.7¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 10% chance.
Price read 3 Nov 2026, 08:32 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.
Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.
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Other outcomes in this event
- Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?46%
- Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?215-2192%No wallet we follow
- Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?220-2242%No wallet we follow
- Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?190-19416%
- Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?195-19915%
- Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?205-2098%
Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.
- Best ask
- 9.7¢
- Best bid
- 9.6¢
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Volume, 24h
- $778
- Liquidity
- $32,636
- Closes
- 4 Nov 2026
A YES share costs the ask, 9.7¢, and sells for the bid, 9.6¢. The 0.1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs
Recent prices
A price of 9.7¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 10%. How to read Polymarket odds
Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.