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Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

45%+2 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 45¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 45% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 09:16 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

3 wallets we follow hold this market ›

66.7% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Show all 8

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
45¢
Best bid
44¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$28,191
Liquidity
$74,298
Closes
4 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 45¢, and sells for the bid, 44¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

28%38%49%28 Oct29 Oct30 Oct31 Oct1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov45%28%38%49%28 Oct30 Oct1 Nov3 Nov45%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 36% to 45%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 45¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 45%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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