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Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?

16%+4 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 16¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 16% chance.

Price read 9 Nov 2026, 13:34 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

6 wallets we follow hold this market ›

100% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
17¢
Best bid
15¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$14,937
Liquidity
$29,813
Closes
1 Jan 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 17¢, and sells for the bid, 15¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

8%14%20%8 Nov9 Nov16%8%14%20%8 Nov16%
Polymarket price over the last 2 days, from 12% to 16%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 16¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 16%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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