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Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?

Outcome: Jay Feely (R)

22%Polymarket’s price is 22¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 22% chance.

Price read 26 Oct 2026, 22:09 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 13 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1602 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
22¢
Best bid
21¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$35,224
Liquidity
$78,620
Closes
4 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 22¢, and sells for the bid, 21¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

8%17%25%24 Oct25 Oct26 Oct22%8%17%25%24 Oct26 Oct22%
Polymarket price over the last 4 days, from 14% to 22%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 22¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 22%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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