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Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

16%Polymarket’s price is 16¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 16% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 13:19 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

30 wallets we follow hold this market ›

76.7% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
16¢
Best bid
16¢
Spread
0.2¢
Volume, 24h
$209,574
Liquidity
$192,508
Closes
27 Oct 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 16¢, and sells for the bid, 16¢. The 0.2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

12%16%21%10:0011:0012:0016%12%16%21%10:0012:0016%
Polymarket price over the last 3 hours, from 16% to 16%. Each time it moved.

A price of 16¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 16%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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