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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

21%Polymarket’s price is 21¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 21% chance.

Price read 25 Oct 2026, 04:26 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

15 wallets we follow hold this market ›

80% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
22¢
Best bid
20¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$10,733
Liquidity
$78,240
Closes
4 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 22¢, and sells for the bid, 20¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

17%22%26%24 Oct25 Oct21%17%22%26%24 Oct21%
Polymarket price over the last 2 days, from 23% to 21%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 21¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 21%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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