Will fewer than 215 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
Outcome: <215
16%+6 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 16¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 16% chance.
Price read 10 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.
Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.
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Other outcomes in this event
- Will there be no House floor vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?No vote96%
- Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?240+<1%
- Will 220-224 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?1%No wallet we follow
- Will 215-219 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?31%
- Will 225-229 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?1%No wallet we follow
- Will 235-239 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?<1%
Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.
- Best ask
- 21¢
- Best bid
- 11¢
- Spread
- 10¢
- Volume, 24h
- $2,259
- Liquidity
- $2,252
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2027
A YES share costs the ask, 21¢, and sells for the bid, 11¢. The 10¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs
Recent prices
A price of 16¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 16%. How to read Polymarket odds
Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.