US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?
Price read 8 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.
Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.
FOLLOW THIS MARKET
An email when this market moves 10 points or resolves. At most 3 a day.
Other outcomes in this event
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?84%No wallet we follow
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?53%No wallet we follow
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?69%No wallet we follow
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?42%No wallet we follow
Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.
- Best ask
- 24¢
- Best bid
- 18¢
- Spread
- 6¢
- Volume, 24h
- $520
- Liquidity
- $3,539
- Closes
- 8 Nov 2026
A YES share costs the ask, 24¢, and sells for the bid, 18¢. The 6¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs
Recent prices
Not enough price history yet for a chart.
A price of 21¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 21%. How to read Polymarket odds
Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.