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Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?

25%Polymarket’s price is 25¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 25% chance.

Price read 7 Nov 2026, 06:51 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 11 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
31¢
Best bid
18¢
Spread
13¢
Volume, 24h
$1,725
Liquidity
$2,794
Closes
12 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 31¢, and sells for the bid, 18¢. The 13¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

A price of 25¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 25%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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