US imports Russian diesel by March 31?
20%Unchanged in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 20¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 20% chance.
Price read 8 Nov 2026, 12:56 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.
Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.
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Other outcomes in this event
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- Best ask
- 20¢
- Best bid
- 19¢
- Spread
- 1¢
- Volume, 24h
- $735
- Liquidity
- $11,464
- Closes
- 1 Apr 2027
A YES share costs the ask, 20¢, and sells for the bid, 19¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs
Recent prices
A price of 20¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 20%. How to read Polymarket odds
Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.