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Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0‑5%?

Outcome: Labour 0-5%

96%Polymarket’s price is 96¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 96% chance.

Price read 7 Nov 2026, 12:50 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
99¢
Best bid
94¢
Spread
4.8¢
Volume, 24h
$10,213
Liquidity
$3,152
Closes
8 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 99¢, and sells for the bid, 94¢. The 4.8¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

55%77%100%06:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0096%55%77%100%06:0008:0010:0096%
Polymarket price over the last 6 hours, from 59% to 96%. Each time it moved.

A price of 96¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 96%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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