Government shutdown by December 12?
40%Polymarket’s price is 40¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 40% chance.
Price read 7 Nov 2026, 22:55 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.
Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.
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Other outcomes in this event
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- Best ask
- 41¢
- Best bid
- 39¢
- Spread
- 2¢
- Volume, 24h
- $10,971
- Liquidity
- $32,149
- Closes
- 13 Dec 2026
A YES share costs the ask, 41¢, and sells for the bid, 39¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs
Recent prices
A price of 40¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 40%. How to read Polymarket odds
Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.