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Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

61%Polymarket’s price is 61¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 61% chance.

Price read 27 Oct 2026, 23:13 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

2 wallets we follow hold this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
62¢
Best bid
60¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$9,957
Liquidity
$42,831
Closes
8 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 62¢, and sells for the bid, 60¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

50%58%65%24 Oct25 Oct26 Oct27 Oct61%50%58%65%24 Oct26 Oct61%
Polymarket price over the last 5 days, from 54% to 61%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 61¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 61%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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