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Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?

59%-15 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 59¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 59% chance.

Price read 11 Nov 2026, 02:55 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
61¢
Best bid
57¢
Spread
4¢
Volume, 24h
$944
Liquidity
$823
Closes
1 Jul 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 61¢, and sells for the bid, 57¢. The 4¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

44%66%87%5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov8 Nov9 Nov10 Nov11 Nov59%44%66%87%5 Nov7 Nov9 Nov11 Nov59%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 84% to 59%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 59¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 59%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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