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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting?

Outcome: 50+ bps decrease

5%-2 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 5¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 5% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 08:32 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 15 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
6¢
Best bid
4¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$1,715
Liquidity
$31,583
Closes
28 Apr 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 6¢, and sells for the bid, 4¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

2%6%11%09:0012:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:005%2%6%11%12:0018:0000:0006:005%
Polymarket price over the last 24 hours, from 7% to 5%. Each time it moved.

A price of 5¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 5%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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