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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?

50%Polymarket’s price is 50¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 50% chance.

Price read 7 Nov 2026, 07:29 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 8 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
50¢
Best bid
49¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$49,769
Liquidity
$83,695
Closes
16 Dec 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 50¢, and sells for the bid, 49¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

32%45%58%3 Nov4 Nov5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov50%32%45%58%3 Nov5 Nov7 Nov50%
Polymarket price over the last 5 days, from 42% to 50%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 50¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 50%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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