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Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?

Outcome: November 2–November 8

4%+2 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 3.9¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 4% chance.

Price read 7 Nov 2026, 02:39 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 12 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
6.9¢
Best bid
0.8¢
Spread
6.1¢
Volume, 24h
$2,984
Liquidity
$1,428
Closes
9 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 6.9¢, and sells for the bid, 0.8¢. The 6.1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

0%9%18%3 Nov4 Nov5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov4%0%9%18%3 Nov5 Nov7 Nov4%
Polymarket price over the last 5 days, from 10% to 4%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 3.9¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 4%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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