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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?

Outcome: 25 bps increase

50%Unchanged in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 50¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 50% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 09:16 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 13 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
50¢
Best bid
49¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$15,790
Liquidity
$73,127
Closes
18 Mar 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 50¢, and sells for the bid, 49¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

45%50%54%12:0018:0000:0006:0050%45%50%54%12:0000:0050%
Polymarket price over the last 25 hours, from 50% to 50%. Each time it moved.

A price of 50¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 50%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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