Kahyna
Sign inStart free, no card →

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?

94%-2 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 94¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 94% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 09:16 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

3 wallets we follow hold this market ›

100% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Show all 8

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
94¢
Best bid
93¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$32,624
Liquidity
$27,850
Closes
5 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 94¢, and sells for the bid, 93¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

87%93%99%12:0018:0000:0006:0094%87%93%99%12:0000:0094%
Polymarket price over the last 25 hours, from 95% to 94%. Each time it moved.

A price of 94¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 94%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

Every market over $10,000 a day →