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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?

44%-1 pt in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 44¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 44% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 08:32 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 3 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1604 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
45¢
Best bid
42¢
Spread
3¢
Volume, 24h
$966
Liquidity
$1,085
Closes
11 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 45¢, and sells for the bid, 42¢. The 3¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

40%53%66%29 Oct30 Oct31 Oct1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov44%40%53%66%29 Oct31 Oct2 Nov44%
Polymarket price over the last 6 days, from 52% to 44%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 44¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 44%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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