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Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?

31%+1 pt in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 31¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 31% chance.

Price read 7 Nov 2026, 02:39 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

2 wallets we follow hold this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
31¢
Best bid
30¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$2,503
Liquidity
$32,344
Closes
1 Jul 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 31¢, and sells for the bid, 30¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

18%26%34%3 Nov4 Nov5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov31%18%26%34%3 Nov5 Nov7 Nov31%
Polymarket price over the last 5 days, from 22% to 31%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 31¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 31%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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