Kahyna
Sign inStart free, no card →

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?

Outcome: Flávio Bolsonaro <2%

17%Polymarket’s price is 17¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 17% chance.

Price read 24 Oct 2026, 02:24 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 8 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1602 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
17¢
Best bid
16¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$10,190
Liquidity
$34,918
Closes
26 Oct 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 17¢, and sells for the bid, 16¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

10%19%28%12:0015:0018:0021:0000:0017%10%19%28%12:0018:0000:0017%
Polymarket price over the last 16 hours, from 25% to 17%. Each time it moved.

A price of 17¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 17%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

Other outcomes in this event

Every market over $10,000 a day →