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Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

30%Polymarket’s price is 30¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 30% chance.

Price read 27 Oct 2026, 18:01 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
30¢
Best bid
29¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$12,306
Liquidity
$33,989
Closes
28 Oct 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 30¢, and sells for the bid, 29¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

11%26%40%24 Oct25 Oct26 Oct27 Oct30%11%26%40%24 Oct26 Oct30%
Polymarket price over the last 4 days, from 35% to 30%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 30¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 30%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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