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Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

80%Polymarket’s price is 80¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 80% chance.

Price read 24 Oct 2026, 04:42 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
82¢
Best bid
78¢
Spread
4¢
Volume, 24h
$2,964
Liquidity
$614
Closes
1 Dec 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 82¢, and sells for the bid, 78¢. The 4¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

56%71%85%12:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0080%56%71%85%12:0018:0000:0080%
Polymarket price over the last 18 hours, from 69% to 80%. Each time it moved.

A price of 80¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 80%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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