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Will Elon Musk post 280‑299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

47%Polymarket’s price is 47¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 47% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 13:19 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
49¢
Best bid
45¢
Spread
4¢
Volume, 24h
$49,150
Liquidity
$3,087
Closes
23 Oct 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 49¢, and sells for the bid, 45¢. The 4¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

43%54%65%10:0011:0012:0047%43%54%65%10:0012:0047%
Polymarket price over the last 3 hours, from 62% to 47%. Each time it moved.

A price of 47¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 47%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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