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Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

24%+4 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 24¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 24% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 09:28 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

8 wallets we follow hold this market ›

100% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
24¢
Best bid
23¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$35,139
Liquidity
$45,634
Closes
1 Jan 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 24¢, and sells for the bid, 23¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

16%25%33%28 Oct29 Oct30 Oct31 Oct1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov24%16%25%33%28 Oct30 Oct1 Nov3 Nov24%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 30% to 24%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 24¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 24%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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