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Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?

26%Polymarket’s price is 26¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 26% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 8 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1582 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
32¢
Best bid
19¢
Spread
13¢
Volume, 24h
$18,167
Liquidity
$1,018
Closes
1 Jan 2028

A YES share costs the ask, 32¢, and sells for the bid, 19¢. The 13¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

21%26%31%10:0011:0012:0026%21%26%31%10:0012:0026%
Polymarket price over the last 3 hours, from 28% to 26%. Each time it moved.

A price of 26¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 26%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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