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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?

14%Polymarket’s price is 14¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 14% chance.

Price read 26 Oct 2026, 04:50 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 16 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1602 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
14¢
Best bid
13¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$482
Liquidity
$10,662
Closes
1 Apr 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 14¢, and sells for the bid, 13¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

8%13%18%24 Oct25 Oct26 Oct14%8%13%18%24 Oct26 Oct14%
Polymarket price over the last 3 days, from 13% to 14%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 14¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 14%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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