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Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?

31%-1 pt in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 31¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 31% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

2 wallets we follow hold this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
32¢
Best bid
30¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$3,243
Liquidity
$7,213
Closes
1 Apr 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 32¢, and sells for the bid, 30¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

27%33%39%28 Oct29 Oct30 Oct31 Oct1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov31%27%33%39%28 Oct30 Oct1 Nov3 Nov31%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 36% to 31%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 31¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 31%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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