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Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Outcome: ↑7.5k

32%-3 pts in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 32¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 32% chance.

Price read 11 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

5 wallets we follow hold this market ›

80% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
33¢
Best bid
31¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$47,026
Liquidity
$1,706
Closes
1 Jan 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 33¢, and sells for the bid, 31¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

15%31%47%5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov8 Nov9 Nov10 Nov11 Nov32%15%31%47%5 Nov7 Nov9 Nov11 Nov32%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 21% to 32%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 32¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 32%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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