Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
19%Unchanged in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 19¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 19% chance.
Price read 11 Nov 2026, 06:52 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.
Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.
FOLLOW THIS MARKET
An email when this market moves 10 points or resolves. At most 3 a day.
Other outcomes in this event
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?December 31, 20262%No wallet we follow
Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.
- Best ask
- 19¢
- Best bid
- 18¢
- Spread
- 1¢
- Volume, 24h
- $571
- Liquidity
- $45,712
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2028
A YES share costs the ask, 19¢, and sells for the bid, 18¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs
Recent prices
A price of 19¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 19%. How to read Polymarket odds
Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.