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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

28%Unchanged in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 28¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 28% chance.

Price read 3 Nov 2026, 09:24 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
29¢
Best bid
27¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$34,085
Liquidity
$78,031
Closes
1 Jan 2028

A YES share costs the ask, 29¢, and sells for the bid, 27¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

22%29%37%28 Oct29 Oct30 Oct31 Oct1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov28%22%29%37%28 Oct30 Oct1 Nov3 Nov28%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 27% to 28%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 28¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 28%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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