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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?

57%Polymarket’s price is 57¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 57% chance.

Price read 24 Oct 2026, 10:43 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
58¢
Best bid
56¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$1,095
Liquidity
$2,560
Closes
31 Dec 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 58¢, and sells for the bid, 56¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

50%57%63%12:0015:0018:0021:0000:0003:0006:0009:0057%50%57%63%12:0018:0000:0006:0057%
Polymarket price over the last 24 hours, from 60% to 57%. Each time it moved.

A price of 57¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 57%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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