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Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

33%Polymarket’s price is 33¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 33% chance.

Price read 25 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

5 wallets we follow hold this market ›

80% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
34¢
Best bid
31¢
Spread
3¢
Volume, 24h
$2,272
Liquidity
$49,549
Closes
31 Dec 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 34¢, and sells for the bid, 31¢. The 3¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

29%34%39%24 Oct25 Oct33%29%34%39%24 Oct33%
Polymarket price over the last 2 days, from 35% to 33%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 33¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 33%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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