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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

36%Polymarket’s price is 36¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 36% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

5 wallets we follow hold this market ›

60% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
38¢
Best bid
33¢
Spread
5¢
Volume, 24h
$11,634
Liquidity
$32,907
Closes
1 Jul 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 38¢, and sells for the bid, 33¢. The 5¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

29%38%47%10:0012:0014:0016:0036%29%38%47%12:0016:0036%
Polymarket price over the last 7 hours, from 43% to 36%. Each time it moved.

A price of 36¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 36%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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