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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

25%Polymarket’s price is 25¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 25% chance.

Price read 27 Oct 2026, 10:50 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

2 wallets we follow hold this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
25¢
Best bid
24¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$555
Liquidity
$11,378
Closes
1 Feb 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 25¢, and sells for the bid, 24¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

13%24%35%24 Oct25 Oct26 Oct27 Oct25%13%24%35%24 Oct26 Oct25%
Polymarket price over the last 4 days, from 31% to 25%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 25¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 25%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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