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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

18%Polymarket’s price is 18¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 18% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
18¢
Best bid
17¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$11,303
Liquidity
$156,498
Closes
1 Jan 2029

A YES share costs the ask, 18¢, and sells for the bid, 17¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

13%18%22%10:0011:0012:0018%13%18%22%10:0012:0018%
Polymarket price over the last 3 hours, from 18% to 18%. Each time it moved.

A price of 18¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 18%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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