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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

13%Polymarket’s price is 13¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 13% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

1 wallet we follow holds this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
13¢
Best bid
12¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$1,627
Liquidity
$43,120
Closes
1 Dec 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 13¢, and sells for the bid, 12¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

A price of 13¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 13%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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